Friday, July 1, 2016

Global Economies Stabilizing After Downturn Caused by Brexit



Although the Brexit Referendum sent economies around the world into a steep dive, they seem to be rebounding much more quickly than expected. Investors have been buying more than selling this week. driving the US stock market higher three separate times. However, analysts have also noticed that US bond prices have surged, which indicates that investors are less anxious about Brexit in the short-term, but still worried about its implications down the road. The members of the Associated Press of the LA Times describe in their article some of the ways in which the economy has shifted since Brexit, and what that may mean for the future.

Britain's departure from the EU, which dropped the value of the euro by over 10%, left economists worried that economies around the globe would quickly follow suit. Fortunately, after a significant downturn, most of the economies are bouncing back quickly. While the amount of investment in the US economy seems to be the same before and after Brexit, there has been a shift as to where investors are putting their money. Oil prices went down. Consumer staple companies and utility stocks, which are known as low-risk investments, have had increased demand.

Investors believe that Brexit in and of itself will not have enough of an effect on the US economy to be significant. However, they worry that if the trend becomes contagious, it will be difficult to combat the negative effects of several countries leaving the EU at once. Overall, though, the economy seems to be on track. The Nasdaq and Dow Jones both increased by 1.3%, and the stock market did well this quarter. Even the S&P 500 improved by 1.9% in the period between April and June. Analysts believe that most of the improvement comes from energy stocks, utilities, and telecom companies.

On Thursday, stock trading started slowly but soon began to rally at normal levels, which may signal that investors have decided to stop worrying about Brexit's effects, at least for the time being. Even the UK's stock market has recouped many losses since last week, due mainly to overseas companies benefiting from the reduced value of the local currency. Around the globe, economies are doing well, or at least not being significantly affected by Brexit. The pound and the euro are still losing value, with the former at faster rates than the latter, but both seem to be slowing. It could be that economists were right: if handled correctly, Britain leaving the EU might only have negative repercussions in the short-run, with unknown benefits in the long-term.

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